Compassionate-Forecast
0x8b041a8064847d4e82e4b587a557acafc9a8ec56
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.02
Total PnL
$-10.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
7 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-25?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 20, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Apr 20, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 21?$1.00Apr 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?$1.00Apr 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$1.00Apr 20, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Apr 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-25?$1.00Apr 20, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Apr 20, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$3.24Apr 20, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.00Apr 20, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.00Apr 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Apr 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.92Apr 19, 20:32 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.00Apr 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Apr 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.01Apr 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Apr 19, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.77Apr 19, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.