Rotating-Robin
0x8b045752acdb95d92abc5c08a7bd95000111f97f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.88
Total PnL
$-8.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1170 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.75
$0.58
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.57
$-0.57
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.55
$-0.55
- YES
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1290 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
1280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
1150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 27?
1150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.26Jun 27, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.13Jun 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1.34Jun 26, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 27?$1.23Jun 25, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Jun 25, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.33Jun 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.21Jun 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1.21Jun 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.24Jun 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.17Jun 25, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves$17.36Jun 19, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers$0.00Jun 19, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners$0.00Jun 19, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers$17.76Jun 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners$7.13Jun 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves$8.04Jun 18, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves$8.39Jun 18, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs$0.00Jun 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds$26.43Jun 17, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies$56.44Jun 17, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $17.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.