Definitive-Bulk
0x8b16d2b655d59267079b846448b1f13863d77996
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.72
Realised
$-2.92
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
59 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.45
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
45 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-23.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
28 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
25 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.95
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$8.32Jul 28, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.26Jul 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.34Jul 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$10.32Jul 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.31Jul 13, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$15.00Jun 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.29Jun 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.74Jun 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.74Jun 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.29Jun 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.74Jun 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.29Jun 28, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.00Jun 28, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.00Jun 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.16Jun 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.29Jun 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.29Jun 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.74Jun 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.74Jun 28, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.