Knowing-Borrower
0x8b19eed337e001ce86378897cf1089b4872f4b3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
136 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
124 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
119 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District be the tipping point jurisdiction?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?
102 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?
97 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$60.00Feb 10, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$34.20Feb 8, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.10Jan 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win the Serie A?$0.07Dec 18, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$0.08Dec 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.14Dec 1, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?$0.07Nov 6, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District be the tipping point jurisdiction?$0.11Nov 5, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?$0.10Nov 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?$0.12Nov 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?$0.10Nov 2, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.15Oct 28, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$0.12Oct 28, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.15Oct 24, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 24, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 24, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?$0.15Oct 24, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 25?$0.15Oct 24, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?$0.14Oct 24, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leinier Dominguez win the 2024 US Chess Championship?$0.15Oct 24, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".