Alarming-Consonant
0x8b2c4168b011ee3df7ee8cf2a33977e154d74930
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$12.46
Total PnL
$-213.97
Realised
$-1.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.57
$0.57
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
50 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
40 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
40 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
40 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.52
- NUGGETS
Kings vs. Nuggets
33 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.30May 29, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.00May 26, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET$1.01May 26, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.01May 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.02May 12, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 1, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.01May 1, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$5.04May 1, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.06May 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$5.00Apr 16, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$25.53Apr 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$47.33Jan 15, 09:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.22Jan 14, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12PM ET$26.45Jan 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$19.80Jan 13, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".