Miserly-Trial
0x8b2c5fc68ffacecab31726a9251ffcf2ab01d7e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$261.7K
Total PnL
$-135.1K
Realised
$-2.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
360000 shares @ 16.3¢·now 33.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$120.1K
$61.5K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
370000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$71.6K
$38.3K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
340000 shares @ 16.5¢·now 13.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.0K
$-11.2K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
340000 shares @ 10.8¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.0K
$-11.7K
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
93083 shares @ 91.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-85.3K
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
42200 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.7K
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
40000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-34.8K
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
36429 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
35000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-26.6K
- YES
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
27500 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$22.86Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$22.78Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$21.92Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$20.67Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$20.60Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$19.75Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$18.25Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$18.52Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$18.42Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$18.88Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$18.49Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$102.53Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$43.33Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$15.02Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.15Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.09Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.89Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$18.10Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.39Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.6KJun 21, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$57.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 9, 09:10 UTC → Jun 18, 02:53 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$29.2K@83¢Jun 17, 01:46 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$29.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
$29.2K · 51% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $332.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.