Adorable-Radish
0x8b38e4247d0fa9c6e991e225e612c9e2f3332bbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
366 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$345.73
$45.73
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
517 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$302.59
$2.59
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
313 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$198.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
345 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$198.28
$-1.72
- YES
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2244 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
619 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-93.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$202.52Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$202.16Jun 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$303.78Jun 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$301.62Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$816.33Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.2KJun 12, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$304.59Jun 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$101.53Jun 12, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$1.0KJun 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$100.36Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?$10.29Apr 30, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.59Apr 30, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $200M one day after launch?$10.70Apr 30, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $300M one day after launch?$10.92Apr 30, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.3KApr 30, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMPharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?$12.32Apr 30, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1000.00Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1000.00Apr 24, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.19Apr 21, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Apr 21, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $296.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.