OtherExpires Jan 1, 2028

Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Probability

51¢

-0.3pp

24h

+1.1pp

24h Vol

$4.3K

Liquidity

$7.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+31.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:17

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 14777.7h
LOW
11:18Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14778h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
11:00Price
Probability up 5.9pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 8.8pp
to 53¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 6.4pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 8.4pp
to 53¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 9.3pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 9.7pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 9.7pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 11.7pp
to 55¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability up 10.5pp
to 55¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 11.9pp
to 56¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 11.1pp
to 56¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 13.3pp
to 58¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 5.4pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 5.2pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 5.6pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.2pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 9.2pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.3pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.2pp
to 55¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 9.3pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 8.7pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 8.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 15.4pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.7pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 13.6pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 26.7pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 20.3pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventPharos Network FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pharos's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Pharos will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pharos (https://x.com/pharos_network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jan 1, 2028
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Wide spread (5.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket