Serene-Decision
0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b
Quality score
95/100
Open positions
76
Open notional
$1.8M
Total PnL
$24.1K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
390000 shares @ 92.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$387.9K
$28.0K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
190000 shares @ 81.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.0K
$-4.0K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
133097 shares @ 89.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.5K
$5.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
122750 shares @ 78.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.5K
$17.7K
- NO
Netanyahu out by April 30?
96529 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$96.0K
$3.0K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
100000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.5K
$1.5K
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
85134 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.5K
$388.72
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
77997 shares @ 76.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$76.2K
$16.3K
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
71000 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$69.8K
$1.5K
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
71556 shares @ 81.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$58.3K
$-237.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$9.0K3h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.7K3h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$0.666h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$2.2K7h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$202.277h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$2.2K7h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.8K7h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$7.5K8h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$378.238h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$625.688h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$1.088h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$213.558h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$249.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$7.5K8h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$3.6K8h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$29.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$14.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$14.879h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$971.589h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.969h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open size, breadth, ROI, win rate on closed markets, and specialisation. Full formula in src/lib/wallet-scoring.ts.