Clever-Downturn
0x8b4da929b4e22c994b8421dcf693b7108a218ab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.17
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$-8.83
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
102870 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-457.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
2989 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?
2554 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1913 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1825 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-178.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1585 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
1453 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1361 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-401.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1310 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$1.2KApr 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?$1.5KApr 15, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$2.7KApr 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?$30.54Apr 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$1.9KApr 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.0KApr 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.4KApr 10, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$20.17Apr 10, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.4KApr 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$686.84Mar 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$686.95Mar 19, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.4KFeb 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.4KFeb 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$6.6KFeb 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.4KFeb 28, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.2KFeb 28, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.9KFeb 28, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.0KFeb 28, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 14, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $879.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".