Stark-Grill
0x8b5fe6c4ce4c1f26f470bed6bf4ab721ae239809
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$73.52
Total PnL
$-9.98
Realised
$0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.87
$0.87
- NO
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
12 shares @ 98.9¢·now 91.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.09
$-0.91
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- NO
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
8 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.71
$-0.29
- NO
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.26
$0.26
- NO
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?
30 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$10.84Jun 5, 13:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.24May 31, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.7KMay 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5KMay 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.1KMay 30, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 28?$4.35May 30, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 28?$5.20May 30, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?$6.18May 30, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 28?$6.32May 30, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?$6.49May 30, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.07May 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 28?$5.01May 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 28?$4.02May 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 28?$6.01May 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?$5.06May 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$3.03May 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?$6.01May 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?$12.04May 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?$12.04May 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.02May 28, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $499.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.