Vigorous-Guidance
0x8b6bc2165228b46aea1e2656cdf9b8717135cbe6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$145.42
Total PnL
$-77.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
139 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$138.37
$-0.07
- LE MANS
Le Mans vs. Limoges
8 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.05
$0.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?
1510 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?
1350 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?
990 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22?
699 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9?
680 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 10?
643 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 22?
589 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$138.45May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLe Mans vs. Limoges$6.92May 16, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$144.80May 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$145.04May 16, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$144.80May 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$145.04May 16, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?$145.76May 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?$145.03May 15, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$11.02May 15, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$134.07May 15, 05:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?$133.95May 14, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$133.82May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$134.03May 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$10.06May 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$143.84May 14, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$144.01May 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$4.32May 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$2.14May 13, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $114.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".