Inferior-Negotiation
0x8b6d6e5b3b308234575bb852449743be7fd9ece3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$46.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
5380 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.76
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1990 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
- SWIATEK
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek
794 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-619.32
- YES
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?
486 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-172.56
- YES
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- LIGHTNING
Senators vs. Lightning
73 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-45.70
- RYBAKINA
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina
57 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.99
- RAKHIMOVA
Transylvania Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Sorana Cirstea
55 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$395.59May 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$67.65May 10, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.63May 10, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.63May 10, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.63May 10, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.76Apr 8, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.78Apr 1, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$11.63Mar 28, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)$18.92Mar 26, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?$0.00Mar 25, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMRotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Guy Den Ouden$0.00Mar 25, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMMubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmez$0.00Mar 25, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?$0.00Mar 25, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMQatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto$0.00Mar 25, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMRotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka$0.00Mar 25, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruins vs. Sabres$14.54Mar 25, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)$14.00Mar 25, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.98Mar 13, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$273.73Mar 8, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$267.68Mar 8, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $64.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".