Quiet-Scotch
0x8b774542e84e01c9dcdf1adc6e1017f5f23460db
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$11.42
Total PnL
$-1.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$11.40Jun 6, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?$2.29Jun 6, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?$2.26May 13, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 10?$12.05May 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 10?$11.89Apr 9, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?$11.89Apr 9, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?$11.87Apr 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$11.87Apr 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$11.94Mar 17, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$11.94Mar 17, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$11.30Feb 2, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular in jail by January 31?$11.29Feb 2, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular in jail by January 31?$11.25Jan 29, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNegative GDP growth in 2025?$11.25Jan 29, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2025?$11.26Jan 12, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?$11.27Jan 12, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?$11.13Dec 19, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$11.12Dec 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$11.09Dec 17, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?$11.09Dec 17, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 11:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.