Pleased-Motivation
0x8bbed3846ee58d5ca0d3ae35be38d00baf4c11df
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-8.65
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
816 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.16
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
522 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-75.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
169 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-87.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
109 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.10
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
97 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
90 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
80 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
75 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.37Jul 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.02Jul 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$4.22Jul 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$4.88Jul 22, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.05Jul 22, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.26Jul 22, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.10Jul 22, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.78Jul 22, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.96Jul 22, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.91Jul 22, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.95Jul 22, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.82Jul 22, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.11Jul 22, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.87Jul 22, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.04Jul 22, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.05Jul 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.96Jul 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.96Jul 22, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$10.31Jul 22, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$4.87Jul 22, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.