Identical-Transition
0x8bc054ae12cee321e9caeee559e6ec2e03df47e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
103
Open notional
$564.67
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$8.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
76 shares @ 92.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$74.17
$4.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
525 shares @ 39.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.92
$-134.92
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1585 shares @ 13.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$54.67
$-156.85
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$50.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
287 shares @ 17.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.53
$-5.47
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.11
$3.11
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
33 shares @ 91.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.37
$2.37
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
165 shares @ 9.1¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.54
$8.54
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.24
$3.24
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
60 shares @ 42.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.35
$-5.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$40.34May 30, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$20.25May 30, 17:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$50.24May 26, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$13.28May 26, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$45.98May 26, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$86.15May 26, 18:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $22.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".