Handmade-Down
0x8bda5162364c40385926f30607bb4349b0d7f001
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$640.40
Total PnL
$-297.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
600 shares @ 32.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$321.00
$129.00
- NO
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$184.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$89.00
$2.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
40 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.40
$6.20
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
400 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-230.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 19?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-181.96
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$9.00May 19, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$499.99May 19, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$197.22May 19, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$79.61May 8, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.95May 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$129.98May 4, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$26.03May 4, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$54.74May 4, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$268.24May 4, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$5.44May 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.01May 3, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.2KMay 1, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$31.20Mar 26, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$0.00Mar 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor CEX insolvent in 2026?$174.00Feb 12, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.1KFeb 6, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$2.51Feb 5, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$82.21Feb 5, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$89.12Feb 4, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$113.47Feb 1, 05:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $80.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".