Grown-Local
0x8be17fb0c1c94cd42bf8172a4412e05836188cb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.43
Realised
$10.57
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina by November 30?
360 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-28.02
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
146 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.67
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2025-09-09?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
69 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.43
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
35 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.65May 14, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00May 14, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.32May 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.33May 14, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$10.64May 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.19May 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$6.80May 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$6.69May 14, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 3?$1.01Mar 3, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 3?$1.00Mar 3, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$2.00Mar 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 3?$4.90Mar 2, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 14, 3PM ET$3.59Dec 14, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - December 14, 3PM ET$3.58Dec 14, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 14, 3PM ET$4.14Dec 14, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 06:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".