Cumbersome-Lap
0x8bf05d01c35d4d90507a19d7ba87efc4b5e26924
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$119.85
Total PnL
$-148.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.80
$-0.01
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.80
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.39
$-0.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
30 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.36
$0.49
- YES
SK Poltava vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Draw at halftime?
3000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.50
$-148.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSK Poltava vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Draw at halftime?$150.00May 16, 10:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.52May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$4.17May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$25.25May 15, 17:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.69May 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga: Draw at halftime?$1.9KMay 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga: Draw at halftime?$0.26May 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga: Draw at halftime?$0.75May 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga: Draw at halftime?$54.67May 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga: Draw at halftime?$47.40May 13, 10:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $148.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".