Frigid-Outlay
0x8c08ce58cdf172e8eaf86051908becc8b5380d49
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$6.11
Total PnL
$-273.98
Realised
$1.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- UNDER
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$6.11
$2.20
- YES
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1593 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.78
- YES
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1291 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
492 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.91
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
291 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.54
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
102 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 27?
97 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 20+ times during his next YouTube video?
68 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
34 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$8.82Jun 14, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 14, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$10.58Jun 14, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$0.00Jun 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$7.79Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$9.76Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$10.31Jun 13, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$8.50Jun 13, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$10.94Jun 13, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 13, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$9.66Jun 13, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$11.49Jun 12, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$11.52Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$7.67Jun 12, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 12, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.40Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$2.48Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.63Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$6.25Jun 12, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.