Relieved-Motivation
0x8c08d75512601cf0a7aa993bbf0e74d2cb01e7b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$663.75
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-1.05
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
528 shares @ 42.1¢·now 61.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$323.33
$101.10
- NO
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
207 shares @ 47.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$125.00
$27.15
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
520 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$85.54
$-0.86
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
60 shares @ 47.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$26.10
$-2.10
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
140 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.03
$-0.91
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.30
$-2.90
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.25
$-0.25
- YES
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$-4.75
- YES
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
70 shares @ 40.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.95
$-15.05
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.69
$1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$160.00Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5$53.62Jun 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$103.51Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score$73.15Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$3.72Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$0.04Jun 12, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$18.97Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$0.25Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$12.89Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$14.62Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJonathan David: 1+ goals$3.20Jun 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$19.35Jun 12, 19:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$45.93Jun 11, 18:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$28.65Jun 9, 19:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.