Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$6.00
Liquidity
$3.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 40¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6010.4h
- 18:36SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.
Biggest hourly move: -7.0pp at 1d ago (to 38¢).
Show all 39 hour-by-hour ticks
- 10:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 09:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 08:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 06:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 05:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 03:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 02:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 00:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 22:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 20:00 · -6.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 42¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Revolut launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Revolut, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.