Ethical-Reception
0x8c1026f774fe33016fb36d5f18f5e791d3e0d7b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$132.45
Realised
$189.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
6987 shares @ 70.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.8K
$-152.22
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5485 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$655.48
$105.48
- NO
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
500 shares @ 64.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$337.50
$17.50
- NO
Will Qatar go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
119 shares @ 98.9¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$108.81
$-9.07
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
92 shares @ 72.5¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$65.02
$-1.33
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
65 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.96
$0.65
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
5791 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.58
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Columbus Sliders finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Dallas Event?
44 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.44Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Florida Smash finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Austin Event?$166.26Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$108.92Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$9.00Jun 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florida Smash finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Austin Event?$166.05Jun 13, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$319.71Jun 13, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$45.00Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill California Black Bears finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Austin Event?$15.00Jun 13, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$3.1KJun 13, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$20.00Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$118.56Jun 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 12, 2026?$198.08Jun 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill California Black Bears finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Austin Event?$14.85Jun 13, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$44.57Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$125.00Jun 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$19.96Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?$3.0KJun 13, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$133.00Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?$1.0KJun 13, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.