Mad-Discrimination
0x8c110920764d3102f80c0f43a222a7dfb8bc5361
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$44.18
Total PnL
$0.23
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?$37.85Jul 13, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?$6.09Jul 13, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$6.59Jul 12, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by June 30?$63.00Jul 12, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? $65.00Jul 12, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$94.00Jul 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$6.58Jun 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$93.91Jun 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? $64.94Jun 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$62.69Jun 17, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$65.00Jun 17, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released before June 2026?$162.00Jun 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$161.85May 27, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor reach $10 in April?$59.90May 7, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$64.56May 7, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$54.00Apr 9, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor reach $10 in April?$59.78Apr 9, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$4.27Mar 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$38.54Mar 18, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$73.00Mar 18, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $62.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.