New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$157.10
Liquidity
$15.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
-40.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $15.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowPrice movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -38.5pp at 3d ago (to 3¢).
Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -38.5pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -38.5pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -38.5pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -38.5pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -38.5pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -38.5pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -38.5pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -36.5pp → 5¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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