Parallel-Rations
0x8c15437bd359d90095d53d1686f124ec4d3ff05b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-18.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1112 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.1K
$-0.56
- NO
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1112 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.1K
$-0.56
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
36 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$35.95
$2.95
- YES
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.00May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$28.50May 17, 14:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$50.00May 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.1KMay 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.1KMay 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?$1.04May 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$5.00Oct 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$33.00Oct 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Oct 4, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?$5.26Oct 4, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$5.32Oct 4, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?$5.00Aug 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$5.00Aug 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?$5.00Aug 28, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?$7.14Aug 28, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMTotal crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?$40.82Aug 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$1.00Aug 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?$1.00Jan 4, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?$1.00Jan 4, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $75.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".