Cavernous-Zipper
0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$279.4K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
270000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$164.7K
$29.7K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
270000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$105.3K
$-29.7K
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
5555 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.6K
$2.78
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
2638 shares @ 87.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.3K
$17.35
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1000 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$972.50
$0.50
- NO
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
431 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$355.95
$15.10
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
3333 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$124.99
$15.00
- YES
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
87 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.30
$0.44
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
16000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$4.727m ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$1.029m ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$0.2034m ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$0.2037m ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$0.2044m ago
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$8.5047m ago
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.0K1h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 8?$5.5K2h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$100.382h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$75.092h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$73.622h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$26.772h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$85.782h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.5K2h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$266.932h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$36.673h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$183.333h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.483h ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$377.736h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$48.116h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $251.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 7m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".