Uncommon-Dealer
0x8c4b15da8a810850718dbc4b6fb20a545e3fd6ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$3.02
Total PnL
$-393.02
Realised
$66.37
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3,900 September 15-21?
867 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?
496 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 13?
423 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 10?
347 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?
324 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
310 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.61
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?
227 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.00Mar 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?$1.00Mar 11, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Mar 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.02Mar 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.21Mar 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.27Mar 8, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10?$10.00Mar 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 10?$8.00Mar 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 10?$3.00Mar 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 9?$2.00Mar 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 9?$0.18Mar 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 11?$1.50Mar 8, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 11?$5.00Mar 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 11?$10.00Mar 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 10?$4.82Mar 8, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 10?$1.00Mar 8, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 9?$1.00Mar 8, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 8?$4.18Mar 8, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 8?$2.64Mar 8, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 10?$5.37Mar 8, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".