Decimal-Beef
0x8c4e962268956beec0ad0a6ddb6125e2af4982df
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$130.93
Total PnL
$-153.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?
131 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$130.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
874 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?
805 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?
790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
752 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?
746 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 21?
740 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
725 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
723 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?
696 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$131.01Jul 10, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in June?$131.17Jul 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in June?$131.01Jun 30, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMHeilbronn: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Pedro Martinez$8.60Jun 30, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$13.25Jun 30, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$109.49Jun 30, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$109.38Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$2.14Jun 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeilbronn: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Pedro Martinez$5.65Jun 1, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.68Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$12.83Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$93.67Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$93.58May 31, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$6.00May 31, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$99.58May 31, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$99.39May 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$98.86May 30, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$99.03May 30, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?$98.86May 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?$99.02May 30, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $77.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.