Muted-Expansionism
0x8c57ef73d51af17a5c8da3d7bab7f0aacc77eb35
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$176.49
Total PnL
$-2.21
Realised
$6.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $168 in May?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$95.50
$19.50
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
50 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.25
$9.75
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
60 shares @ 21.5¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$19.23
$6.35
- NO
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.10
$-3.50
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 53.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.08
$-9.10
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$3.30
$-0.50
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$-0.07
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?
40 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cat" in May?$11.79May 18, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$35.26May 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.38May 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$34.50May 7, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?$31.08May 5, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$3.89May 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $168 in May?$76.73May 5, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$13.20Apr 14, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" this week? (April 12)$0.00Apr 14, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kharg Island" this week? (April 12)$10.00Apr 14, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 12?$8.28Apr 12, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?$0.00Apr 12, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$0.00Apr 12, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?$0.00Apr 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 12?$7.70Apr 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 12?$4.29Apr 11, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 12?$4.00Apr 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?$19.71Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?$10.80Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 11?$11.01Apr 10, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".