Bare-Toothpaste
0x8c76c4787bf236398d2d1a42dd3e8af1393206ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$103.0K
Total PnL
$-37.3K
Realised
$-851.19
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
37313 shares @ 84.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.8K
$2.2K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
24970 shares @ 92.2¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.0K
$966.78
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
12624 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.5K
$267.71
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
8472 shares @ 83.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$953.39
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13580 shares @ 47.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.6K
$-2.9K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
3702 shares @ 91.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.5K
$117.27
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6000 shares @ 39.5¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$-375.79
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2023 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$18.09
- NO
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1780 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.6K
$4.50
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6000 shares @ 21.9¢·now 23.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$70.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.70Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56.18Jun 12, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$220.19Jun 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.41Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.40Jun 12, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.81Jun 12, 10:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.50Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.51Jun 11, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.49Jun 11, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.16Jun 11, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.61Jun 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.99Jun 11, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.61Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$158.61Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38.09Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74.29Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.75Jun 11, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $252.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.