Spry-Translation
0x8c781c18a4227f876798b33f45a8661999c8322c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$134.97
Total PnL
$-22.54
Realised
$0.68
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 86.8¢·now 83.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.28
$-0.57
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 72.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.57
$-1.13
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 65.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.45
$-1.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on July 5?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$5.33
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 5?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$5.17
$-0.09
- NO
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$5.12
$1.31
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$5.11
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$4.98
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 5?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$4.95
$0.08
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 89.7¢·now 91.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$4.82
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 5?$5.27Jul 4, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 5?$3.97Jul 4, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 5?$0.25Jul 4, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 5?$4.54Jul 4, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 5?$4.50Jul 4, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?$3.60Jul 4, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?$1.68Jul 4, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 6?$3.82Jul 4, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 6?$4.39Jul 4, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 4?$0.32Jul 4, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?$4.45Jul 4, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 4?$4.90Jul 4, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?$4.13Jul 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?$5.37Jul 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$4.72Jul 4, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?$5.33Jul 4, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$1.93Jul 4, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$1.00Jul 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$3.67Jul 4, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$3.87Jul 4, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 06:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 22:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.