Valuable-Orangutan
0x8c7a96aeba603d917b301836c5799393cde37c2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$246.55
Total PnL
$-464.65
Realised
$55.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$104.69
$4.69
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
362 shares @ 27.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$65.21
$-32.60
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1370 shares @ 7.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.11
$-45.89
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.55
$-16.45
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
63 shares @ 39.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$-18.40
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.71
$-1.29
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.36
$-22.64
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.33
$-1.07
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.52Jun 9, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$4.17May 20, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$27.84May 20, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.63May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$25.00Apr 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$25.00Apr 30, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$152.64Apr 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$81.00Apr 20, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?$100.00Apr 20, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?$209.05Apr 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?$100.00Apr 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$25.00Apr 9, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?$15.00Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$50.00Apr 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$25.00Apr 7, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $38.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.