Junior-Scarf
0x8c8426eb972495ef432a38c4ae5343e1ec738eb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.21
Total PnL
$-112.05
Realised
$4.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
28 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-2.39
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
140 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
99 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-45.79
- YES
Will Romania come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
45 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?
30 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
26 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
26 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will Romania win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
23 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
20 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 100 and 124 points?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.00May 17, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$20.00May 17, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$18.99May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$30.00May 17, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$36.00May 17, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$21.24May 17, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$12.99May 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?$0.40May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.10May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.11May 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.25May 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "European Union" be said during Eurovision?$0.80May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?$0.32May 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.10May 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.92May 16, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$9.61May 16, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.27May 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.76May 16, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.24May 16, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points?$0.90May 16, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.