Lucky-Referendum
0x8cc8c12b3c1f965d475547ab2fa13e2cc189e6a4
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$773.85
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
769 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$763.85
$-1.15
- OVER
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$5.89
$-0.06
- OVER
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.11
$-0.05
- OVER
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
2320 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- OVER
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
1450 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-638.00
- OVER
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
435 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-234.90
- OVER
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5
14 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.28
- OVER
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.14
- OVER
Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.24
- OVER
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5$3.242h ago
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5$0.942h ago
- YIELD$0.075h ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5$5.9520h ago
- YIELD$0.071d ago
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5$3.732d ago
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5$5.572d ago
- REDEEMHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$8.502d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-2.5)$10.502d ago
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5$15.442d ago
- YIELD$0.072d ago
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$4.453d ago
- YIELD$0.063d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$4.094d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-6.5)$0.134d ago
- YIELD$0.064d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-6.5)$4.355d ago
- YIELD$0.065d ago
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5$4.216d ago
- YIELD$0.056d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".