Intrepid-Magnitude
0x8cf3508fee26f252c91c7011a158f869748fb0fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$270.77
Total PnL
$-74.73
Realised
$5.12
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
60 shares @ 54.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.90
$7.50
- YES
Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 3.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.84
$28.39
- YES
Will 5 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 2.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.68
$20.08
- YES
Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 2.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.56
$17.41
- YES
Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 2.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.22
$14.97
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
52 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.92
$-0.82
- YES
Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.00
$11.50
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
30 shares @ 59.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.95
$-6.75
- NO
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
30 shares @ 30.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.45
$0.35
- YES
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.75
$5.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?$3.05Jun 14, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$2.70Jun 14, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score$2.44Jun 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$0.64Jun 14, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$13.83Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$1.90Jun 13, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.