Loud-Dawn
0x8cfe473993164d15fae51257750997bf8a33db1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.93
Total PnL
$-4.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.14
$0.00
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.25
$0.01
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.17
$0.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Chris Stapleton win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$2.14Jun 1, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$1.24May 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.17Apr 29, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.03Apr 28, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?$1.07Apr 28, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?$1.32Apr 28, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.81Apr 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.24Apr 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?$1.07Apr 14, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.02Mar 29, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?$1.32Mar 28, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.80Dec 30, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.05Dec 4, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.04Nov 29, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$1.65Nov 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$1.12Nov 26, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.67Nov 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$14.65Nov 25, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$17.32Nov 25, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".