Pretty-Seaside
0x8d0c3509c152e1b4abfa470b0868ec3cce26e1ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$180.52
Total PnL
$-35.67
Realised
$38.24
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.67
$6.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Wolf" in July?
17 shares @ 9.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.50
$6.00
- YES
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30?
17 shares @ 9.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.92
$5.42
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?
14 shares @ 11.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$6.82
$5.32
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?
14 shares @ 11.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$6.68
$5.18
- YES
Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 49.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.16
$5.16
- YES
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.3¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.09
$5.15
- YES
Will Trump say "Breaking News" in July?
13 shares @ 12.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.88
$4.38
- NO
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?
10 shares @ 11.8¢·now 54.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.63
$4.40
- YES
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.49
$4.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?$1.08Jul 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?$1.50Jul 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?$1.50Jul 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Wolf" in July?$1.50Jul 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYValantis FDV above $150M one day after launch?$1.50Jul 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in August?$0.08Jul 28, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYElizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?$0.70Jul 28, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?$1.00Jul 27, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Collins vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$1.50Jul 27, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $56 in July?$1.50Jul 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Uranium" in July?$0.85Jul 27, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?$1.50Jul 27, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?$8.35Jul 27, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?$1.50Jul 27, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Egg" this week?$1.50Jul 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by July 31?$0.72Jul 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 29?$1.50Jul 27, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?$1.00Jul 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be greater than 0.1?$1.26Jul 27, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be greater than 0.1?$0.54Jul 27, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.