Weary-Exaggeration
0x8d2450fb000b903dc652abca70b1ae508a6ea2e9
Quality score
77/100
Open positions
67
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-361.79
Win rate
54%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- UNDER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5
1065 shares @ 80.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$708.23
$-143.77
- NO
Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
557 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$518.01
$27.85
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
350 shares @ 78.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$350.00
$73.85
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
183 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$182.91
$0.09
- HERSHEY BEARS
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears
226 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.4¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$174.92
$-10.40
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
384 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.32
$-21.12
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.50
$-6.50
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.15
$-0.25
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 1.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.10
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$61.442d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$490.162d ago
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$199.5212d ago
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$182.3513d ago
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$356.9514d ago
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$268.9214d ago
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$19.9214d ago
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$258.9614d ago
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$209.8415d ago
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$213.6115d ago
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$120.3116d ago
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$296.8016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$6.0816d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$52.4418d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$56.6218d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$52.0618d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$527.7218d ago
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$190.2625d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?$397.8026d ago
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$100.1726d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $197.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 39d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.