Variable-Disease
0x8d4b4b134ad6f756b9924ffbfc8d98b61d766f8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.85
Total PnL
$-18.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on March 29?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$10.85
$7.92
- YES
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
38 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-22.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
16 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on March 29?$2.93Mar 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$3.81Mar 21, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?$22.24Mar 3, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?$0.00Feb 25, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$10.04Feb 9, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?$24.84Feb 6, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 26?$33.69Feb 1, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$2.41Feb 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 26?$16.17Jan 26, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Heat$0.00Jan 22, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jan 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.4KJan 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.4KJan 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Heat$3.94Jan 14, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Magic$0.00Jan 10, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Magic$12.38Jan 4, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$0.00Dec 28, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on December 19, 2025?$14.41Dec 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$14.56Dec 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on December 19, 2025?$5.79Dec 18, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $170.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.