Lean-Cast
0x8d5162188b31a1960aaf7ba088c89eeb8887345d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.88
Total PnL
$-2.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.60
$0.60
- NO
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
2 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Nico Williams sign with a new club during the transfer window?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Erling Haaland sign with a new club during the transfer window?
19 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.00May 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.02May 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.02May 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.01May 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.01May 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.00May 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.02May 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$4.09May 12, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$4.55May 12, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$6.22May 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$3.60Dec 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$2.20Dec 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$14.60Dec 15, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Elanga sign with a new club during the transfer window? $3.00Dec 15, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?$3.87Dec 15, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party in July?$4.83Dec 15, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Elanga sign with a new club during the transfer window? $3.00Jul 9, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?$2.40Jul 7, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams sign with a new club during the transfer window?$1.00Jul 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$2.90Jul 7, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.