Inexperienced-Fry
0x8d5bf50d1975d296c7dd32f062e2a3f54fb24432
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$122.40
Total PnL
$-94.18
Realised
$6.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$80.49
$6.50
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.80
$1.80
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$-0.05
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
40 shares @ 16.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.80
$-0.80
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$-2.90
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
30 shares @ 47.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$-12.78
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.70
$-19.30
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.64
$-11.36
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$10.00May 29, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$2.83May 29, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$56.92May 29, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$14.23May 29, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$10.17May 27, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.22May 27, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00May 27, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.34May 27, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$11.00May 27, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$5.30May 24, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$6.00May 23, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$12.00May 23, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLValencia vs. Real Madrid$54.94May 22, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLValencia vs. Real Madrid$36.66May 22, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLValencia vs. Real Madrid$15.04May 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Real Madrid$27.30May 22, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Real Madrid$49.45May 22, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$9.00May 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.45May 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3.75May 20, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $15.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".