Buoyant-Leisure
0x8d65d2fb54b88f6e43f63157d2abe5f2e12054e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$46.34
Total PnL
$-121.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
34 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$34.02
$1.02
- YES
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$0.33
- NO
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.98
$0.98
- FIGUEIREDO
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)
289 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
65 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YADONG
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- TUIVASA
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?$5.06May 9, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Team Evictix vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage$2.11Jan 30, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$7.50Jan 30, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$10.00Jan 27, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$8.00Jan 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$6.00Jan 26, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Evictix vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage$2.00Jan 26, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$3.00Jan 26, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?$3.00Jan 26, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$15.00Jan 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.00Jan 26, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$60.61Jan 25, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)$5.00Jan 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$10.00Jan 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Vasilisa vs Team VooDooSh (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B$5.32Jan 23, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$20.00Jan 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)$10.00Jan 23, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Vasilisa vs Team VooDooSh (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B$5.00Jan 23, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5.00Jan 23, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 9INE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs$0.00Jan 23, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $10.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.