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EntertainmentExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

Probability

37¢

1h

-1.5pp

24h

-7.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$923.08

Probability (last 7 days)

+6.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1573.6h

    LOW
  • 10:26Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1574h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:26Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In November, a song reported to be the product of an AI-generated artist reached the top of the Billboard's Country Digital Song Sales chart. (see: https://www.barrons.com/news/ai-country-song-rollicks-to-the-top-of-us-sales-chart-7fe99e8a) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song widely reported to be entirely AI-generated reaches number 1 on any Billboard chart between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A song will be considered fully AI-generated if all vocals, musical composition, and production elements are created primarily by AI. Human actions such as prompting, mixing, and editing will not disqualify a song provided all audio content originates from AI. Songs reported to have used AI-generated lyrics but not AI-generated voices, AI-assisted human vocals or instruments, or remixes, mash-ups, or covers using human-performed components will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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