Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Probability
37¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-7.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$923.08
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1573.6h
- 10:26SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1574h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:26PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 37¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 37¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 38¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 45¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 38¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 44¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 46¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 42¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 45¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 43¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 41¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 46¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 46¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 37¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 38¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
In November, a song reported to be the product of an AI-generated artist reached the top of the Billboard's Country Digital Song Sales chart. (see: https://www.barrons.com/news/ai-country-song-rollicks-to-the-top-of-us-sales-chart-7fe99e8a) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song widely reported to be entirely AI-generated reaches number 1 on any Billboard chart between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A song will be considered fully AI-generated if all vocals, musical composition, and production elements are created primarily by AI. Human actions such as prompting, mixing, and editing will not disqualify a song provided all audio content originates from AI. Songs reported to have used AI-generated lyrics but not AI-generated voices, AI-assisted human vocals or instruments, or remixes, mash-ups, or covers using human-performed components will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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