Understated-Baseball
0x8d70be622cb48143a3e73b7010eae0947caf661d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 1?
5436 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 12?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1308 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-717.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 1?
1023 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 1?
734 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 12?
603 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?
580 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on April 28?
523 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 13?
515 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$508.99Jun 1, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$27.93Jun 1, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$221.17Jun 1, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?$28.03May 15, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?$45.86May 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 15?$5.23May 15, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 15?$5.24May 15, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 15?$5.23May 15, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 15?$5.23May 15, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 15?$5.23May 15, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?$5.24May 15, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 15?$5.24May 15, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 15?$5.24May 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 17?$5.22May 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 15?$5.24May 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?$3.98May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?$5.22May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 15?$5.25May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 16?$5.22May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$5.21May 15, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.