Second-Hand-Caramel
0x8d71d36d2183f1176a98d45041acd8b090a78102
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$52.82
Total PnL
$17.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$33.33
$23.33
- NO
Harris gets more Republican voters than Biden?
10 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$9.78
$0.21
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
10 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$9.71
$0.28
- NO
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?
109 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHarris gets more Republican voters than Biden?$9.57Nov 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Friday?$9.43Nov 13, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$0.00Nov 8, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$11.76Nov 8, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 5, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on October 18?$9.99Nov 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on October 18?$1.00Oct 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on October 18?$9.19Oct 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$10.00Oct 10, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$25.54Oct 9, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?$26.58Oct 8, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$41.12Oct 5, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$41.20Oct 5, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$43.44Oct 5, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$43.50Oct 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$6.00Oct 3, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDing Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?$6.00Oct 3, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool beat Bologna?$8.43Oct 3, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$46.28Oct 2, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $38.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".