Misguided-Engagement
0x8d7ef18863af6452cdc839d3b79f3e94833985c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$38.04
Total PnL
$-374.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.36
$5.36
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.82
$-36.18
- YES
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.26
$-4.74
- YES
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$-6.39
- YES
Will Solana dip to $90 January 19-25?
931 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
704 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $100 January 19-25?
679 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 15?
507 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
480 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$10.00Mar 1, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$30.00Mar 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$10.00Feb 27, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$10.00Feb 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2PM ET$5.00Feb 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2PM ET$10.00Feb 7, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Feb 7, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$10.00Feb 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$50.00Feb 7, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?$208.68Feb 5, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$7.88Feb 4, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$7.88Feb 4, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?$156.67Feb 4, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 January 19-25?$10.00Jan 25, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $110 January 19-25?$10.00Jan 25, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $120 in January?$155.60Jan 25, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 January 19-25?$5.00Jan 20, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $90 January 19-25?$10.00Jan 20, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $110 January 19-25?$20.00Jan 20, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?$1.54Jan 18, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.