Married-Basket
0x8d82da22026fc7818658b010e550b1e1aee13754
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
18415 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-239.47
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
15851 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-351.15
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
11035 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.25
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
8000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
6855 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.69
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 18?
5600 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-33.60
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
1354 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.73
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
1008 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.11
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
493 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-330.06
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
295 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$25.24May 15, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$2.00May 12, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS congress stock trading ban before 2027?$46.00May 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$1.00May 8, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$1.00May 5, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$1.00May 3, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$1.00May 3, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$1.00May 3, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$12.25May 2, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$1.00May 1, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS congress stock trading ban before 2027?$40.00Apr 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$42.50Apr 24, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.59Apr 9, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.61Apr 9, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$6.90Apr 9, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.40Apr 9, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.10Apr 9, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$772.93Apr 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$6.0KMar 13, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$6.8KMar 13, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $628.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".