0x8d83d991c1695c42b062621d87a29951b0f662c3
0x8d83d991c1695c42b062621d87a29951b0f662c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.98
Total PnL
$-1.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
49 shares @ 6.1¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Hurricanes win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$-0.06
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
32 shares @ 5.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-1.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crusaders win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.04Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reds win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.04Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Waratahs win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.06Jun 3, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Western Force win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.04May 28, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$1.90May 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$1.89May 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.00May 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waratahs win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.00May 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reds win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.00May 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Western Force win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.00May 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crusaders win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$2.00May 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hurricanes win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?$3.00May 10, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.