Scary-Leverage
0x8d955585e7a3383f6e05516bfbc143073531001a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-251.13
Realised
$6.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st?
332 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2022$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
319 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022?
132 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2022$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
96 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.57
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$15.00Apr 9, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.00Apr 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?$2.00Aug 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$11.13Jul 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$5.00Jul 15, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$5.00Jul 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$3.00Jul 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$5.00Apr 8, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?$1.40Apr 5, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$64.29Apr 4, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$24.00Mar 3, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$16.00Mar 3, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?$0.25Mar 1, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?$9.71Feb 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?$7.60Feb 27, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$9.33Feb 27, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$2.00Feb 25, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?$1.00Feb 25, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$10.00Feb 25, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$0.00Feb 25, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".